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UCSD Honors High School Statistics Competition Winners

By Sherry Seethaler | March 19, 2007

The winners of the first annual greater San Diego High School Honors Statistics Contest were recognized for their achievements on Thursday at UCSD at an awards dinner following the Kyoto Prize lecture.

Jamey Jester of Francis Parker School (left), and Ben Cosman of La Jolla High School (right) with Hirotugu Akaike, 2006 Kyoto Prize Laureate in the Basic Sciences.

Forty-six students from nine high schools took part in the March 3 competition, which was organized by mathematicians at UCSD, in collaboration with the Greater San Diego Math Council. The organizers say that their goal is to recognize and support the efforts of local high school students and their teachers and to stimulate excellence in the study of statistics and probability.

“We hope to set a bar that students will strive to reach,” said Bruce Arnold, director of UCSD’s Math Testing and Placement Office. “Students of all abilities participate in these competitions. They do it because they enjoy being challenged. The competition provides a venue to compete and validates their efforts.” 

The top two students, Jamey Jester of Francis Parker School, and Ben Cosman of La Jolla High School each received a $500 prize. Cosman's mother is Pamela Cosman, a professor of electrical and computer engineering and director of the Center for Wireless Communications in the Jacob's School of Engineering. The awards were presented by Sheela Talwalker, president of the Sand Diego Chapter of the American Statistical Association. She promised the students that if they continued their studies in statistics beyond high school, they would certainly develop an affection for the discipline. 

“Statistics is not just helping scientists in every field deal with the 21st century explosion of data,” said Talwalker.  “Statistics is important in our day-to-day life because statistical thinking helps you make decisions in the presence of uncertainty. And uncertainty is the most certain thing in life, other than death and taxes.”    

The competition involved two exams, one multiple choice and one written, that required students to solve mathematics problems using intuition and creativity. The exams covered the probability and statistics content from the California Mathematics Standards and the College Board Advanced Placement program. Each school entered a team of 3-8 members. The top three individual scores determined the overall team score. 

At the awards dinner, selected students presented their solutions to the written portion of the examination. The first student presenter, Michael Shen from Rancho Bernardo High School, quickly dispelled the myth that mathematicians lack a sense of humor. He gave the audience a tongue-in-cheek discussion of his reasoning about the problem, which involved interpreting the value of r squared—a measurement of the strength of the relationship between two variables—for a graph called a regression line.

“I believe there is a moral to every math problem,” he concluded.  “The moral to this one is that everyone is like a regression line. Some have naturally high r-squared values and some have naturally low r-squared values. We need to strive to achieve the highest r-squared values.”

The top five students and the coaches of the top three schools, La Jolla High School, Ramona High School and Rancho Bernardo High School, were awarded graphing calculators donated by Texas Instruments. The top ten students each received a marble paperweight engraved with their name and each school received a certificate of participation.

Students from a 10th school had planned on participating in the contest. They met at 5:30 am on March 3 in a parking lot in Tijuana to make the trip across the border to the event, but their bus failed to start. Happily, they were able join their peers at the Kyoto Prize lecture and awards dinner.

At the Kyoto Prize lecture, Hirotugu Akaike, the 2006 Kyoto Prize Laureate in the Basic Sciences, discussed the powerful statistical tool he developed, now known as the Akaike Information Criterion. AIC makes it possible to identify relationships in large volumes of data and has applications in virtually every field of science and engineering. Akaike advised students to pick one problem and assured them that with “un, don, kon”—luck, persistence and patience—they would succeed.

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